Suburb · NSW · 2025 data

Carroll, NSW

In 2025, police recorded 47 offences in Carroll, or 154.1 per 1,000 residents. That is 2.11× the NSW rate.

305 residents · estimated 251.0 km² +14.6% vs 2024
Crime rank within NSW
95 out of 100
Very high crime

Higher weighted crime rate than 95% of 1,583 ranked NSW suburbs (2025).

Violent
97
Property
92

Higher = more crime. Severity-weighted rate per resident · method v2026.07

All offences
47
2025 · ▲ +14.6%
Crimes / 1,000
154.1
NSW avg 72.9
Violent / 1,000
85.2
26 offences · avg 17.5
Property / 1,000
45.9
14 offences · avg 27.4
Harm-focused / 1,000
141.0
excl. justice & regulatory · avg 54.2
Violent crime, roughly
1 in 12residents per year
NSW: 1 in 57
Property crime, roughly
1 in 22residents per year
NSW: 1 in 36

By crime type, 2025

Carroll NSW average Line = 2024–2025

Rates per 1,000 residents. ×-values compare with the state rate for the same offence type.

Crimes against the person

85.3 / 1,000 NSW 17.5 · National 16.5
Stalking, harassment and threatening behaviour
45.90
7.8×
Assault and related offences
36.07
4.2×
Sexual offences
3.28
1.4×
Homicide and related offences
0.00
0.0×
Abduction and related offences
0.00
0.0×
Robbery
0.00
0.0×
Blackmail and extortion
0.00
0.0×
Other crimes against the person
0.00
0.0×

Property & deception

45.9 / 1,000 NSW 27.4 · National 40.8
Theft
19.67
0.9×
Property damage
19.67
3.6×
Arson
6.56
12.2×

Drug offences

6.6 / 1,000 NSW 4.6 · National 7.0
Drug offences
6.56
1.4×

Public order & weapons

3.3 / 1,000 NSW 4.7 · National 4.5
Disorderly and offensive conduct
3.28
1.4×
Weapons and explosives offences
0.00
0.0×
Public nuisance offences
0.00
0.0×

Justice procedures

13.1 / 1,000 NSW 10.9 · National 10.3 administrative
Justice procedures offences
13.11
1.2×

Traffic, regulatory & other

0.0 / 1,000 NSW 7.8 · National 6.2 administrative
Other government regulatory offences
0.00
—
Other offences
0.00
0.0×
Transport regulation offences
0.00
0.0×
Miscellaneous offences
0.00
0.0×
View as table
GroupOffence typeCountPer 1,000NSW per 1,000
Crimes against the personStalking, harassment and threatening behaviour1445.905.90
Crimes against the personAssault and related offences1136.078.64
Crimes against the personSexual offences13.282.36
Crimes against the personHomicide and related offences00.000.01
Crimes against the personAbduction and related offences00.000.03
Crimes against the personRobbery00.000.21
Crimes against the personBlackmail and extortion00.000.15
Crimes against the personOther crimes against the person00.000.19
Property & deceptionTheft619.6721.35
Property & deceptionProperty damage619.675.51
Property & deceptionArson26.560.54
Drug offencesDrug offences26.564.62
Public order & weaponsDisorderly and offensive conduct13.282.34
Public order & weaponsWeapons and explosives offences00.001.69
Public order & weaponsPublic nuisance offences00.000.65
Justice proceduresJustice procedures offences413.1110.90
Traffic, regulatory & otherOther government regulatory offences00.000.00
Traffic, regulatory & otherOther offences00.000.14
Traffic, regulatory & otherTransport regulation offences00.006.25
Traffic, regulatory & otherMiscellaneous offences00.001.39

Trend

TotalViolentPropertydashed = projection
02653202420252026

Recorded offences per year. Projection is a simple linear trend, not a forecast of individual risk.

Vs state & national

per 1,000 residents
CarrollState
All offences
Carroll
154.1
State
72.9
Violent
Carroll
85.2
State
17.5
Property
Carroll
45.9
State
27.4

Nearby suburbs

  1. Appleby0.0 km not ranked compare
  2. Bective0.0 km not ranked compare
  3. Bithramere0.0 km not ranked compare
  4. Bowling Alley Point0.0 km not ranked compare
  5. Calala0.0 km 64 compare
  6. Daruka0.0 km 4 compare
  7. Dungowan0.0 km 21 compare
  8. East Tamworth0.0 km 78 compare

Housing, rent and growth

Housing & rent

ABS Census 2021

Median rent is 14% of median household income. Below the 30% stress benchmark

MeasureValuevs other NSW suburbs
Median rent$220/week higher than 22%
Median household income$1,524/week higher than 46%
Rent as a share of income14% higher than 21%
Median mortgage repayment$988/month higher than 10%
Homes that are rented25% higher than 73%
Owned outright36% higher than 30%
Social housing0% higher than 34%
Average household size2.7 people higher than 64%

2021 Census figures: rents and incomes have risen since, so compare suburbs rather than reading today's prices. The rent share uses the median rent and the median income of all households (owners included), so it is a guide, not the share any one renter pays. The 30% benchmark is a common convention.

Growth & new homes

ABS Regional Population · Building Approvals
MeasureValuevs other NSW areas
Population growth, 5 years
2020–2025
+5.5% higher than 71%
Population growth, last year
2024–2025
+1.5% higher than 78%
New homes approved, 12 months
12 months to Aug 2026
152 higher than 87%
New homes approved per 1,000 residents
12 months to Aug 2026
7.5 higher than 81%

ABS publishes these for larger areas: figures are for “Tamworth Surrounds”, which contains this suburb. Approvals are dwellings approved, not yet built. Growth and new supply are change indicators, not a price forecast.

Common questions about Carroll

Is Carroll a high-crime area?

Carroll falls in the “very high crime” band: Higher weighted crime rate than 95% of 1,583 ranked NSW suburbs (2025). Rankings use a severity-weighted rate per resident, so serious offences count more than minor ones.

What is the crime rate in Carroll?

In 2025, 47 offences were recorded in Carroll, or 154.1 per 1,000 residents. That is 2.1× the NSW rate of 72.9.

What are the chances of being a victim of crime in Carroll?

Based on 2025 recorded offences per resident, roughly 1 in 12 for violent crime and 1 in 22 for property crime. Recorded crime includes offences against visitors and businesses, so this overstates risk for residents.

Where does this data come from?

Official recorded-crime statistics published by state police and crime statistics agencies, divided by 2021 Census or ABS population estimates. See the methodology page for details.

Data notes

  • Population is estimated (medium confidence) from the ABS 2021 Census.
  • Recorded crime counts offences reported to or detected by police where they occurred. That includes offences against visitors and businesses, so busy centres score higher than their resident risk.
  • States classify offences differently, so ranks compare areas within the same state.