Suburb · NSW · 2025 data

Elsmore, NSW

In 2025, police recorded 18 offences in Elsmore, or 50.3 per 1,000 residents. That is 0.69× the NSW rate.

358 residents · estimated 120.4 km² +28.6% vs 2024
Crime rank within NSW
54 out of 100
Average crime

Higher weighted crime rate than 54% of 1,808 ranked NSW suburbs (2025).

Violent
48
Property
69

Higher = more crime. Severity-weighted rate per resident · method v2026.07

All offences
18
2025 · ▲ +28.6%
Crimes / 1,000
50.3
NSW avg 72.9
Violent / 1,000
14.0
5 offences · avg 17.5
Property / 1,000
22.3
8 offences · avg 27.4
Harm-focused / 1,000
47.5
excl. justice & regulatory · avg 54.2
Violent crime, roughly
1 in 72residents per year
NSW: 1 in 57
Property crime, roughly
1 in 45residents per year
NSW: 1 in 36

By crime type, 2025

Elsmore NSW average Line = 2021–2025

Rates per 1,000 residents. ×-values compare with the state rate for the same offence type.

Crimes against the person

14.0 / 1,000 NSW 17.5 · National 17.1
Assault and related offences
5.59
0.7×
Stalking, harassment and threatening behaviour
5.59
1.0×
Robbery
2.79
13.3×
Homicide and related offences
0.00
0.0×
Sexual offences
0.00
0.0×
Abduction and related offences
0.00
0.0×
Blackmail and extortion
0.00
0.0×
Other crimes against the person
0.00
0.0×

Property & deception

22.4 / 1,000 NSW 27.4 · National 43.2
Property damage
13.97
2.5×
Theft
8.38
0.4×
Arson
0.00
0.0×

Drug offences

0.0 / 1,000 NSW 4.6 · National 7.2
Drug offences
0.00
0.0×

Public order & weapons

11.2 / 1,000 NSW 4.7 · National 4.7
Weapons and explosives offences
11.17
6.6×
Disorderly and offensive conduct
0.00
0.0×
Public nuisance offences
0.00
0.0×

Justice procedures

2.8 / 1,000 NSW 10.9 · National 10.8 administrative
Justice procedures offences
2.79
0.3×

Traffic, regulatory & other

0.0 / 1,000 NSW 7.8 · National 6.2 administrative
Other government regulatory offences
0.00
—
Other offences
0.00
0.0×
Transport regulation offences
0.00
0.0×
Miscellaneous offences
0.00
0.0×
View as table
GroupOffence typeCountPer 1,000NSW per 1,000
Crimes against the personAssault and related offences25.598.65
Crimes against the personStalking, harassment and threatening behaviour25.595.90
Crimes against the personRobbery12.790.21
Crimes against the personHomicide and related offences00.000.01
Crimes against the personSexual offences00.002.37
Crimes against the personAbduction and related offences00.000.03
Crimes against the personBlackmail and extortion00.000.15
Crimes against the personOther crimes against the person00.000.19
Property & deceptionProperty damage513.975.52
Property & deceptionTheft38.3821.38
Property & deceptionArson00.000.54
Drug offencesDrug offences00.004.62
Public order & weaponsWeapons and explosives offences411.171.70
Public order & weaponsDisorderly and offensive conduct00.002.34
Public order & weaponsPublic nuisance offences00.000.65
Justice proceduresJustice procedures offences12.7910.91
Traffic, regulatory & otherOther government regulatory offences00.000.00
Traffic, regulatory & otherOther offences00.000.14
Traffic, regulatory & otherTransport regulation offences00.006.25
Traffic, regulatory & otherMiscellaneous offences00.001.39

Trend

TotalViolentPropertydashed = projection
012252021202220232024202520262027

Recorded offences per year. Projection is a simple linear trend, not a forecast of individual risk.

Vs state & national

per 1,000 residents
ElsmoreState
All offences
Elsmore
50.3
State
72.9
Violent
Elsmore
14.0
State
17.5
Property
Elsmore
22.3
State
27.4

Nearby suburbs

  1. Auburn Vale0.0 km not ranked compare
  2. Bukkulla0.0 km not ranked compare
  3. Cherry Tree Hill0.0 km not ranked compare
  4. Copeton0.0 km not ranked compare
  5. Gilgai0.0 km 68 compare
  6. Graman0.0 km not ranked compare
  7. Gum Flat0.0 km not ranked compare
  8. Howell0.0 km not ranked compare

Housing, rent and growth

Housing & rent

ABS Census 2021

Median rent is 21% of median household income. Below the 30% stress benchmark

MeasureValuevs other NSW suburbs
Median rent$255/week higher than 31%
Median household income$1,199/week higher than 25%
Rent as a share of income21% higher than 52%
Median mortgage repayment$964/month higher than 10%
Homes that are rented16% higher than 49%
Owned outright49% higher than 70%
Social housing0% higher than 34%
Average household size2.3 people higher than 29%

2021 Census figures: rents and incomes have risen since, so compare suburbs rather than reading today's prices. The rent share uses the median rent and the median income of all households (owners included), so it is a guide, not the share any one renter pays. The 30% benchmark is a common convention.

Growth & new homes

ABS Regional Population · Building Approvals
MeasureValuevs other NSW areas
Population growth, 5 years
2020–2025
-0.3% higher than 20%
Population growth, last year
2024–2025
-0.1% higher than 16%
New homes approved, 12 months
12 months to Aug 2026
8 higher than 14%
New homes approved per 1,000 residents
12 months to Aug 2026
1.5 higher than 19%

ABS publishes these for larger areas: figures are for “Inverell Surrounds - East”, which contains this suburb. Approvals are dwellings approved, not yet built. Growth and new supply are change indicators, not a price forecast.

Common questions about Elsmore

Is Elsmore a high-crime area?

Elsmore falls in the “average crime” band: Higher weighted crime rate than 54% of 1,808 ranked NSW suburbs (2025). Rankings use a severity-weighted rate per resident, so serious offences count more than minor ones.

What is the crime rate in Elsmore?

In 2025, 18 offences were recorded in Elsmore, or 50.3 per 1,000 residents. That is 0.7× the NSW rate of 72.9.

What are the chances of being a victim of crime in Elsmore?

Based on 2025 recorded offences per resident, roughly 1 in 72 for violent crime and 1 in 45 for property crime. Recorded crime includes offences against visitors and businesses, so this overstates risk for residents.

Where does this data come from?

Official recorded-crime statistics published by state police and crime statistics agencies, divided by 2021 Census or ABS population estimates. See the methodology page for details.

Data notes

  • Population is estimated (medium confidence) from the ABS 2021 Census.
  • Recorded crime counts offences reported to or detected by police where they occurred. That includes offences against visitors and businesses, so busy centres score higher than their resident risk.
  • States classify offences differently, so ranks compare areas within the same state.