2030, NSW
In 2025, police recorded 381 offences in 2030, or 26.4 per 1,000 residents. That is 0.36× the NSW rate.
Higher weighted crime rate than 10% of 585 ranked NSW postcodes (2025).
Higher = more crime. Severity-weighted rate per resident · method v2026.07
By crime type, 2025
Rates per 1,000 residents. ×-values compare with the state rate for the same offence type.
Crimes against the person
6.9 / 1,000
NSW 17.5
· National 16.5
Property & deception
10.3 / 1,000
NSW 27.4
· National 40.8
Drug offences
1.5 / 1,000
NSW 4.6
· National 7.0
Public order & weapons
3.3 / 1,000
NSW 4.7
· National 4.5
Justice procedures
2.2 / 1,000
NSW 10.9
· National 10.3
administrative
Traffic, regulatory & other
2.4 / 1,000
NSW 7.8
· National 6.2
administrative
View as table
| Group | Offence type | Count | Per 1,000 | NSW per 1,000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crimes against the person | Assault and related offences | 41 | 2.84 | 8.64 |
| Crimes against the person | Stalking, harassment and threatening behaviour | 33 | 2.29 | 5.90 |
| Crimes against the person | Sexual offences | 24 | 1.66 | 2.36 |
| Crimes against the person | Other crimes against the person | 1 | 0.07 | 0.19 |
| Crimes against the person | Homicide and related offences | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Crimes against the person | Abduction and related offences | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 |
| Crimes against the person | Robbery | 0 | 0.00 | 0.21 |
| Crimes against the person | Blackmail and extortion | 0 | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| Property & deception | Theft | 109 | 7.55 | 21.35 |
| Property & deception | Property damage | 38 | 2.63 | 5.51 |
| Property & deception | Arson | 2 | 0.14 | 0.54 |
| Drug offences | Drug offences | 21 | 1.45 | 4.62 |
| Public order & weapons | Disorderly and offensive conduct | 33 | 2.29 | 2.34 |
| Public order & weapons | Weapons and explosives offences | 8 | 0.55 | 1.69 |
| Public order & weapons | Public nuisance offences | 6 | 0.42 | 0.65 |
| Justice procedures | Justice procedures offences | 31 | 2.15 | 10.90 |
| Traffic, regulatory & other | Miscellaneous offences | 32 | 2.22 | 1.39 |
| Traffic, regulatory & other | Other offences | 1 | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| Traffic, regulatory & other | Transport regulation offences | 1 | 0.07 | 6.25 |
| Traffic, regulatory & other | Other government regulatory offences | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Trend
Recorded offences per year. Projection is a simple linear trend, not a forecast of individual risk.
Vs state & national
per 1,000 residentsNearby postcodes
Common questions about 2030
Is 2030 a high-crime area?
2030 falls in the “very low crime” band: Higher weighted crime rate than 10% of 585 ranked NSW postcodes (2025). Rankings use a severity-weighted rate per resident, so serious offences count more than minor ones.
What is the crime rate in 2030?
In 2025, 381 offences were recorded in 2030, or 26.4 per 1,000 residents. That is 0.4× the NSW rate of 72.9.
What are the chances of being a victim of crime in 2030?
Based on 2025 recorded offences per resident, roughly 1 in 146 for violent crime and 1 in 97 for property crime. Recorded crime includes offences against visitors and businesses, so this overstates risk for residents.
Where does this data come from?
Official recorded-crime statistics published by state police and crime statistics agencies, divided by 2021 Census or ABS population estimates. See the methodology page for details.
Data notes
- Population is estimated (medium confidence) from the ABS 2021 Census.
- Recorded crime counts offences reported to or detected by police where they occurred. That includes offences against visitors and businesses, so busy centres score higher than their resident risk.
- States classify offences differently, so ranks compare areas within the same state.