Suburb · NSW · 2025 data

Shell Cove, NSW

In 2025, police recorded 241 offences in Shell Cove, or 31.7 per 1,000 residents. That is 0.44× the NSW rate.

7,591 residents · estimated 10.1 km² +6.2% vs 2024
Crime rank within NSW
31 out of 100
Low crime

Higher weighted crime rate than 31% of 1,808 ranked NSW suburbs (2025).

Violent
20
Property
45

Higher = more crime. Severity-weighted rate per resident · method v2026.07

All offences
241
2025 · ▲ +6.2%
Crimes / 1,000
31.7
NSW avg 72.9
Violent / 1,000
8.2
62 offences · avg 17.5
Property / 1,000
17.4
132 offences · avg 27.4
Harm-focused / 1,000
27.8
excl. justice & regulatory · avg 54.2
Violent crime, roughly
1 in 122residents per year
NSW: 1 in 57
Property crime, roughly
1 in 58residents per year
NSW: 1 in 36

By crime type, 2025

Shell Cove NSW average Line = 2021–2025

Rates per 1,000 residents. ×-values compare with the state rate for the same offence type.

Crimes against the person

8.2 / 1,000 NSW 17.5 · National 17.1
Stalking, harassment and threatening behaviour
3.69
0.6×
Assault and related offences
3.43
0.4×
Sexual offences
0.79
0.3×
Other crimes against the person
0.26
1.4×
Homicide and related offences
0.00
0.0×
Abduction and related offences
0.00
0.0×
Robbery
0.00
0.0×
Blackmail and extortion
0.00
0.0×

Property & deception

17.4 / 1,000 NSW 27.4 · National 43.2
Theft
14.36
0.7×
Property damage
2.90
0.5×
Arson
0.13
0.2×

Drug offences

0.1 / 1,000 NSW 4.6 · National 7.2
Drug offences
0.13
0.0×

Public order & weapons

2.1 / 1,000 NSW 4.7 · National 4.7
Public nuisance offences
0.92
1.4×
Weapons and explosives offences
0.66
0.4×
Disorderly and offensive conduct
0.53
0.2×

Justice procedures

2.9 / 1,000 NSW 10.9 · National 10.8 administrative
Justice procedures offences
2.90
0.3×

Traffic, regulatory & other

1.1 / 1,000 NSW 7.8 · National 6.2 administrative
Miscellaneous offences
0.92
0.7×
Other offences
0.13
0.9×
Other government regulatory offences
0.00
—
Transport regulation offences
0.00
0.0×
View as table
GroupOffence typeCountPer 1,000NSW per 1,000
Crimes against the personStalking, harassment and threatening behaviour283.695.90
Crimes against the personAssault and related offences263.438.65
Crimes against the personSexual offences60.792.37
Crimes against the personOther crimes against the person20.260.19
Crimes against the personHomicide and related offences00.000.01
Crimes against the personAbduction and related offences00.000.03
Crimes against the personRobbery00.000.21
Crimes against the personBlackmail and extortion00.000.15
Property & deceptionTheft10914.3621.38
Property & deceptionProperty damage222.905.52
Property & deceptionArson10.130.54
Drug offencesDrug offences10.134.62
Public order & weaponsPublic nuisance offences70.920.65
Public order & weaponsWeapons and explosives offences50.661.70
Public order & weaponsDisorderly and offensive conduct40.532.34
Justice proceduresJustice procedures offences222.9010.91
Traffic, regulatory & otherMiscellaneous offences70.921.39
Traffic, regulatory & otherOther offences10.130.14
Traffic, regulatory & otherOther government regulatory offences00.000.00
Traffic, regulatory & otherTransport regulation offences00.006.25

Trend

TotalViolentPropertydashed = projection
01362722021202220232024202520262027

Recorded offences per year. Projection is a simple linear trend, not a forecast of individual risk.

Vs state & national

per 1,000 residents
Shell CoveState
All offences
Shell Cove
31.7
State
72.9
Violent
Shell Cove
8.2
State
17.5
Property
Shell Cove
17.4
State
27.4

Nearby suburbs

Housing, rent and growth

Housing & rent

ABS Census 2021

Median rent is 25% of median household income. Below the 30% stress benchmark

MeasureValuevs other NSW suburbs
Median rent$600/week higher than 94%
Median household income$2,452/week higher than 88%
Rent as a share of income25% higher than 70%
Median mortgage repayment$2,386/month higher than 78%
Homes that are rented19% higher than 58%
Owned outright35% higher than 30%
Social housing0% higher than 34%
Average household size3.0 people higher than 85%

2021 Census figures: rents and incomes have risen since, so compare suburbs rather than reading today's prices. The rent share uses the median rent and the median income of all households (owners included), so it is a guide, not the share any one renter pays. The 30% benchmark is a common convention.

Growth & new homes

ABS Regional Population · Building Approvals
MeasureValuevs other NSW areas
Population growth, 5 years
2020–2025
+9.7% higher than 85%
Population growth, last year
2024–2025
+2.3% higher than 88%
New homes approved, 12 months
12 months to Aug 2026
247 higher than 93%
New homes approved per 1,000 residents
12 months to Aug 2026
11.8 higher than 91%

ABS publishes these for larger areas: figures are for “Shellharbour - Flinders”, which contains this suburb. Approvals are dwellings approved, not yet built. Growth and new supply are change indicators, not a price forecast.

Common questions about Shell Cove

Is Shell Cove a high-crime area?

Shell Cove falls in the “low crime” band: Higher weighted crime rate than 31% of 1,808 ranked NSW suburbs (2025). Rankings use a severity-weighted rate per resident, so serious offences count more than minor ones.

What is the crime rate in Shell Cove?

In 2025, 241 offences were recorded in Shell Cove, or 31.7 per 1,000 residents. That is 0.4× the NSW rate of 72.9.

What are the chances of being a victim of crime in Shell Cove?

Based on 2025 recorded offences per resident, roughly 1 in 122 for violent crime and 1 in 58 for property crime. Recorded crime includes offences against visitors and businesses, so this overstates risk for residents.

Where does this data come from?

Official recorded-crime statistics published by state police and crime statistics agencies, divided by 2021 Census or ABS population estimates. See the methodology page for details.

Data notes

  • Population is estimated (medium confidence) from the ABS 2021 Census.
  • Recorded crime counts offences reported to or detected by police where they occurred. That includes offences against visitors and businesses, so busy centres score higher than their resident risk.
  • States classify offences differently, so ranks compare areas within the same state.