Suburb · NSW · 2025 data

Waterfall, NSW

In 2025, police recorded 70 offences in Waterfall, or 134.1 per 1,000 residents. That is 1.84× the NSW rate.

522 residents · estimated 17.6 km² -7.9% vs 2024
Crime rank within NSW
91 out of 100
Very high crime

Higher weighted crime rate than 91% of 1,808 ranked NSW suburbs (2025).

Violent
85
Property
95

Higher = more crime. Severity-weighted rate per resident · method v2026.07

All offences
70
2025 · ▼ -7.9%
Crimes / 1,000
134.1
NSW avg 72.9
Violent / 1,000
28.7
15 offences · avg 17.5
Property / 1,000
63.2
33 offences · avg 27.4
Harm-focused / 1,000
105.4
excl. justice & regulatory · avg 54.2
Violent crime, roughly
1 in 35residents per year
NSW: 1 in 57
Property crime, roughly
1 in 16residents per year
NSW: 1 in 36

By crime type, 2025

Waterfall NSW average Line = 2021–2025

Rates per 1,000 residents. ×-values compare with the state rate for the same offence type.

Crimes against the person

28.7 / 1,000 NSW 17.5 · National 17.1
Assault and related offences
15.33
1.8×
Stalking, harassment and threatening behaviour
9.58
1.6×
Sexual offences
3.83
1.6×
Homicide and related offences
0.00
0.0×
Abduction and related offences
0.00
0.0×
Robbery
0.00
0.0×
Blackmail and extortion
0.00
0.0×
Other crimes against the person
0.00
0.0×

Property & deception

63.2 / 1,000 NSW 27.4 · National 43.2
Property damage
42.15
7.6×
Theft
19.16
0.9×
Arson
1.92
3.6×

Drug offences

11.5 / 1,000 NSW 4.6 · National 7.2
Drug offences
11.49
2.5×

Public order & weapons

1.9 / 1,000 NSW 4.7 · National 4.7
Disorderly and offensive conduct
1.92
0.8×
Weapons and explosives offences
0.00
0.0×
Public nuisance offences
0.00
0.0×

Justice procedures

7.7 / 1,000 NSW 10.9 · National 10.8 administrative
Justice procedures offences
7.66
0.7×

Traffic, regulatory & other

21.1 / 1,000 NSW 7.8 · National 6.2 administrative
Transport regulation offences
17.24
2.8×
Miscellaneous offences
3.83
2.8×
Other government regulatory offences
0.00
—
Other offences
0.00
0.0×
View as table
GroupOffence typeCountPer 1,000NSW per 1,000
Crimes against the personAssault and related offences815.338.65
Crimes against the personStalking, harassment and threatening behaviour59.585.90
Crimes against the personSexual offences23.832.37
Crimes against the personHomicide and related offences00.000.01
Crimes against the personAbduction and related offences00.000.03
Crimes against the personRobbery00.000.21
Crimes against the personBlackmail and extortion00.000.15
Crimes against the personOther crimes against the person00.000.19
Property & deceptionProperty damage2242.155.52
Property & deceptionTheft1019.1621.38
Property & deceptionArson11.920.54
Drug offencesDrug offences611.494.62
Public order & weaponsDisorderly and offensive conduct11.922.34
Public order & weaponsWeapons and explosives offences00.001.70
Public order & weaponsPublic nuisance offences00.000.65
Justice proceduresJustice procedures offences47.6610.91
Traffic, regulatory & otherTransport regulation offences917.246.25
Traffic, regulatory & otherMiscellaneous offences23.831.39
Traffic, regulatory & otherOther government regulatory offences00.000.00
Traffic, regulatory & otherOther offences00.000.14

Trend

TotalViolentPropertydashed = projection
0561122021202220232024202520262027

Recorded offences per year. Projection is a simple linear trend, not a forecast of individual risk.

Vs state & national

per 1,000 residents
WaterfallState
All offences
Waterfall
134.1
State
72.9
Violent
Waterfall
28.7
State
17.5
Property
Waterfall
63.2
State
27.4

Nearby suburbs

Housing, rent and growth

Housing & rent

ABS Census 2021

Median rent is 23% of median household income. Below the 30% stress benchmark

MeasureValuevs other NSW suburbs
Median rent$515/week higher than 88%
Median household income$2,232/week higher than 80%
Rent as a share of income23% higher than 61%
Median mortgage repayment$2,383/month higher than 77%
Homes that are rented14% higher than 40%
Owned outright36% higher than 31%
Social housing0% higher than 34%
Average household size3.0 people higher than 85%

2021 Census figures: rents and incomes have risen since, so compare suburbs rather than reading today's prices. The rent share uses the median rent and the median income of all households (owners included), so it is a guide, not the share any one renter pays. The 30% benchmark is a common convention.

Growth & new homes

ABS Regional Population · Building Approvals
MeasureValuevs other NSW areas
Population growth, 5 years
2020–2025
+7.1% higher than 78%
Population growth, last year
2024–2025
+0.0% higher than 21%
New homes approved, 12 months
12 months to Aug 2026
0 higher than 2%

ABS publishes these for larger areas: figures are for “Royal National Park”, which contains this suburb. Approvals are dwellings approved, not yet built. Growth and new supply are change indicators, not a price forecast.

Common questions about Waterfall

Is Waterfall a high-crime area?

Waterfall falls in the “very high crime” band: Higher weighted crime rate than 91% of 1,808 ranked NSW suburbs (2025). Rankings use a severity-weighted rate per resident, so serious offences count more than minor ones.

What is the crime rate in Waterfall?

In 2025, 70 offences were recorded in Waterfall, or 134.1 per 1,000 residents. That is 1.8× the NSW rate of 72.9.

What are the chances of being a victim of crime in Waterfall?

Based on 2025 recorded offences per resident, roughly 1 in 35 for violent crime and 1 in 16 for property crime. Recorded crime includes offences against visitors and businesses, so this overstates risk for residents.

Where does this data come from?

Official recorded-crime statistics published by state police and crime statistics agencies, divided by 2021 Census or ABS population estimates. See the methodology page for details.

Data notes

  • Population is estimated (medium confidence) from the ABS 2021 Census.
  • Recorded crime counts offences reported to or detected by police where they occurred. That includes offences against visitors and businesses, so busy centres score higher than their resident risk.
  • States classify offences differently, so ranks compare areas within the same state.