Suburb · VIC · 2026 data

Aintree, VIC

In 2026, police recorded 404 offences in Aintree, or 50.6 per 1,000 residents. That is 0.66× the VIC rate.

7,982 residents · estimated 6.7 km² -17.6% vs 2025
Crime rank within VIC
46 out of 100
Average crime

Higher weighted crime rate than 46% of 911 ranked VIC suburbs (2026).

Violent
50
Property
46

Higher = more crime. Severity-weighted rate per resident · method v2026.07

All offences
404
2026 · ▼ -17.6%
Crimes / 1,000
50.6
VIC avg 76.5
Violent / 1,000
9.3
74 offences · avg 11.8
Property / 1,000
30.6
244 offences · avg 44.0
Harm-focused / 1,000
43.9
excl. justice & regulatory · avg 63.7
Violent crime, roughly
1 in 108residents per year
VIC: 1 in 85
Property crime, roughly
1 in 33residents per year
VIC: 1 in 23

By crime type, 2026

Aintree VIC average Line = 2021–2026

Rates per 1,000 residents. ×-values compare with the state rate for the same offence type.

Crimes against the person

9.3 / 1,000 VIC 11.8 · National 11.8
Assault and related offences
5.01
0.8×
Stalking, harassment and threatening behaviour
2.00
1.1×
Other crimes against the person
1.13
3.5×
Dangerous and negligent acts endangering people
0.75
0.9×
Robbery
0.38
1.0×

Property & deception

30.6 / 1,000 VIC 44.0 · National 44.0
Theft
20.30
0.7×
Burglary/Break and enter
4.26
0.8×
Property damage
3.01
0.5×
Deception
2.88
0.7×
Arson
0.13
0.3×

Drug offences

1.4 / 1,000 VIC 4.1 · National 4.1
Drug use and possession
0.88
0.3×
Drug dealing and trafficking
0.50
1.2×

Public order & weapons

2.6 / 1,000 VIC 3.8 · National 3.8
Disorderly and offensive conduct
1.13
1.3×
Public nuisance offences
0.88
1.3×
Weapons and explosives offences
0.63
0.3×

Justice procedures

6.8 / 1,000 VIC 12.6 · National 12.6 administrative
Breaches of orders
6.14
0.6×
Justice procedures
0.63
0.4×
View as table
GroupOffence typeCountPer 1,000VIC per 1,000
Crimes against the personAssault and related offences405.016.44
Crimes against the personStalking, harassment and threatening behaviour162.001.80
Crimes against the personOther crimes against the person91.130.32
Crimes against the personDangerous and negligent acts endangering people60.750.83
Crimes against the personRobbery30.380.39
Property & deceptionTheft16220.3028.52
Property & deceptionBurglary/Break and enter344.265.24
Property & deceptionProperty damage243.015.83
Property & deceptionDeception232.884.00
Property & deceptionArson10.130.45
Drug offencesDrug use and possession70.883.45
Drug offencesDrug dealing and trafficking40.500.41
Public order & weaponsDisorderly and offensive conduct91.130.90
Public order & weaponsPublic nuisance offences70.880.68
Public order & weaponsWeapons and explosives offences50.632.17
Justice proceduresBreaches of orders496.1410.81
Justice proceduresJustice procedures50.631.81

Trend

TotalViolentPropertydashed = projection
02454902021202220232024202520262027

Recorded offences per year. Projection is a simple linear trend, not a forecast of individual risk.

Vs state & national

per 1,000 residents
AintreeState
All offences
Aintree
50.6
State
76.5
Violent
Aintree
9.3
State
11.8
Property
Aintree
30.6
State
44.0

Nearby suburbs

  1. Bonnie Brook2.6 km 100 compare
  2. Rockbank2.8 km not ranked compare
  3. Grangefields2.9 km not ranked compare
  4. Deanside3.5 km 100 compare
  5. Thornhill Park4.0 km 95 compare
  6. Fraser Rise4.2 km 65 compare
  7. Plumpton6.0 km not ranked compare
  8. Cobblebank6.1 km 59 compare

Housing, rent and growth

Housing & rent

ABS Census 2021

Median rent is 18% of median household income. Below the 30% stress benchmark

MeasureValuevs other VIC suburbs
Median rent$420/week higher than 91%
Median household income$2,348/week higher than 92%
Rent as a share of income18% higher than 54%
Median mortgage repayment$2,167/month higher than 86%
Homes that are rented21% higher than 75%
Owned outright5% higher than 0%
Social housing0% higher than 35%
Average household size3.6 people higher than 99%

2021 Census figures: rents and incomes have risen since, so compare suburbs rather than reading today's prices. The rent share uses the median rent and the median income of all households (owners included), so it is a guide, not the share any one renter pays. The 30% benchmark is a common convention.

Growth & new homes

ABS Regional Population · Building Approvals
MeasureValuevs other VIC areas
Population growth, 5 years
2020–2025
+168.8% higher than 100%
Population growth, last year
2024–2025
+14.7% higher than 99%
New homes approved, 12 months
12 months to Aug 2026
1,648 higher than 100%
New homes approved per 1,000 residents
12 months to Aug 2026
46.0 higher than 98%

ABS publishes these for larger areas: figures are for “Rockbank - Mount Cottrell”, which contains this suburb. Approvals are dwellings approved, not yet built. Growth and new supply are change indicators, not a price forecast.

Common questions about Aintree

Is Aintree a high-crime area?

Aintree falls in the “average crime” band: Higher weighted crime rate than 46% of 911 ranked VIC suburbs (2026). Rankings use a severity-weighted rate per resident, so serious offences count more than minor ones.

What is the crime rate in Aintree?

In 2026, 404 offences were recorded in Aintree, or 50.6 per 1,000 residents. That is 0.7× the VIC rate of 76.5.

What are the chances of being a victim of crime in Aintree?

Based on 2026 recorded offences per resident, roughly 1 in 108 for violent crime and 1 in 33 for property crime. Recorded crime includes offences against visitors and businesses, so this overstates risk for residents.

Where does this data come from?

Official recorded-crime statistics published by state police and crime statistics agencies, divided by 2021 Census or ABS population estimates. See the methodology page for details.

Data notes

  • Population is estimated (medium confidence) from the ABS 2021 Census.
  • Recorded crime counts offences reported to or detected by police where they occurred. That includes offences against visitors and businesses, so busy centres score higher than their resident risk.
  • States classify offences differently, so ranks compare areas within the same state.