Suburb · VIC · 2026 data

Ardeer, VIC

In 2026, police recorded 357 offences in Ardeer, or 112.6 per 1,000 residents. That is 1.47× the VIC rate.

3,170 residents · estimated 2.1 km² -4.8% vs 2025
Crime rank within VIC
84 out of 100
Very high crime

Higher weighted crime rate than 84% of 911 ranked VIC suburbs (2026).

Violent
83
Property
83

Higher = more crime. Severity-weighted rate per resident · method v2026.07

All offences
357
2026 · ▼ -4.8%
Crimes / 1,000
112.6
VIC avg 76.5
Violent / 1,000
22.7
72 offences · avg 11.8
Property / 1,000
68.5
217 offences · avg 44.0
Harm-focused / 1,000
102.8
excl. justice & regulatory · avg 63.7
Violent crime, roughly
1 in 44residents per year
VIC: 1 in 85
Property crime, roughly
1 in 15residents per year
VIC: 1 in 23

By crime type, 2026

Ardeer VIC average Line = 2021–2026

Rates per 1,000 residents. ×-values compare with the state rate for the same offence type.

Crimes against the person

22.7 / 1,000 VIC 11.8 · National 11.8
Assault and related offences
11.36
1.8×
Stalking, harassment and threatening behaviour
7.57
4.2×
Other crimes against the person
2.52
7.9×
Dangerous and negligent acts endangering people
1.26
1.5×

Property & deception

68.5 / 1,000 VIC 44.0 · National 44.0
Theft
46.37
1.6×
Property damage
10.41
1.8×
Burglary/Break and enter
6.62
1.3×
Deception
5.05
1.3×

Drug offences

7.3 / 1,000 VIC 4.1 · National 4.1
Drug use and possession
6.31
1.8×
Cultivate or manufacture drugs
0.63
2.3×
Drug dealing and trafficking
0.32
0.8×

Public order & weapons

4.4 / 1,000 VIC 3.8 · National 3.8
Weapons and explosives offences
3.15
1.5×
Disorderly and offensive conduct
0.63
0.7×
Public nuisance offences
0.63
0.9×

Justice procedures

9.8 / 1,000 VIC 12.6 · National 12.6 administrative
Breaches of orders
7.26
0.7×
Justice procedures
2.52
1.4×
View as table
GroupOffence typeCountPer 1,000VIC per 1,000
Crimes against the personAssault and related offences3611.366.44
Crimes against the personStalking, harassment and threatening behaviour247.571.80
Crimes against the personOther crimes against the person82.520.32
Crimes against the personDangerous and negligent acts endangering people41.260.83
Property & deceptionTheft14746.3728.52
Property & deceptionProperty damage3310.415.83
Property & deceptionBurglary/Break and enter216.625.24
Property & deceptionDeception165.054.00
Drug offencesDrug use and possession206.313.45
Drug offencesCultivate or manufacture drugs20.630.28
Drug offencesDrug dealing and trafficking10.320.41
Public order & weaponsWeapons and explosives offences103.152.17
Public order & weaponsDisorderly and offensive conduct20.630.90
Public order & weaponsPublic nuisance offences20.630.68
Justice proceduresBreaches of orders237.2610.81
Justice proceduresJustice procedures82.521.81

Trend

TotalViolentPropertydashed = projection
01873752021202220232024202520262027

Recorded offences per year. Projection is a simple linear trend, not a forecast of individual risk.

Vs state & national

per 1,000 residents
ArdeerState
All offences
Ardeer
112.6
State
76.5
Violent
Ardeer
22.7
State
11.8
Property
Ardeer
68.5
State
44.0

Nearby suburbs

  1. Sunshine West1.5 km 63 compare
  2. Cairnlea2.5 km 41 compare
  3. Deer Park2.5 km 72 compare
  4. Burnside2.5 km 45 compare
  5. Caroline Springs2.5 km 44 compare
  6. Ravenhall2.5 km 98 compare
  7. Albion3.8 km 87 compare
  8. Sunshine3.8 km 98 compare

Housing, rent and growth

Housing & rent

ABS Census 2021

Median rent is 23% of median household income. Below the 30% stress benchmark

MeasureValuevs other VIC suburbs
Median rent$340/week higher than 72%
Median household income$1,452/week higher than 42%
Rent as a share of income23% higher than 84%
Median mortgage repayment$1,700/month higher than 60%
Homes that are rented34% higher than 93%
Owned outright30% higher than 13%
Social housing1% higher than 80%
Average household size2.4 people higher than 44%

2021 Census figures: rents and incomes have risen since, so compare suburbs rather than reading today's prices. The rent share uses the median rent and the median income of all households (owners included), so it is a guide, not the share any one renter pays. The 30% benchmark is a common convention.

Growth & new homes

ABS Regional Population · Building Approvals
MeasureValuevs other VIC areas
Population growth, 5 years
2020–2025
-4.8% higher than 3%
Population growth, last year
2024–2025
-0.2% higher than 6%
New homes approved, 12 months
12 months to Aug 2026
45 higher than 50%
New homes approved per 1,000 residents
12 months to Aug 2026
2.4 higher than 31%

ABS publishes these for larger areas: figures are for “Sunshine West”, which contains this suburb. Approvals are dwellings approved, not yet built. Growth and new supply are change indicators, not a price forecast.

Common questions about Ardeer

Is Ardeer a high-crime area?

Ardeer falls in the “very high crime” band: Higher weighted crime rate than 84% of 911 ranked VIC suburbs (2026). Rankings use a severity-weighted rate per resident, so serious offences count more than minor ones.

What is the crime rate in Ardeer?

In 2026, 357 offences were recorded in Ardeer, or 112.6 per 1,000 residents. That is 1.5× the VIC rate of 76.5.

What are the chances of being a victim of crime in Ardeer?

Based on 2026 recorded offences per resident, roughly 1 in 44 for violent crime and 1 in 15 for property crime. Recorded crime includes offences against visitors and businesses, so this overstates risk for residents.

Where does this data come from?

Official recorded-crime statistics published by state police and crime statistics agencies, divided by 2021 Census or ABS population estimates. See the methodology page for details.

Data notes

  • Population is estimated (medium confidence) from the ABS 2021 Census.
  • Recorded crime counts offences reported to or detected by police where they occurred. That includes offences against visitors and businesses, so busy centres score higher than their resident risk.
  • States classify offences differently, so ranks compare areas within the same state.