Suburb · VIC · 2026 data

Buffalo, VIC

In 2026, police recorded 20 offences in Buffalo, or 70.4 per 1,000 residents. That is 0.79× the VIC rate.

284 residents · estimated 109.0 km² +1900.0% vs 2025
Not ranked

Buffalo has about 284 residents. Below 300, a few incidents swing the per-person rate wildly, so we show counts but don't rank it.

All offences
20
2026 · ▲ +1900.0%
Crimes / 1,000
70.4
VIC avg 89.1
Violent / 1,000
35.2
10 offences · avg 13.7
Property / 1,000
31.7
9 offences · avg 51.3
Harm-focused / 1,000
66.9
excl. justice & regulatory · avg 65.0
Violent crime, roughly
1 in 28residents per year
VIC: 1 in 73
Property crime, roughly
1 in 32residents per year
VIC: 1 in 19

By crime type, 2026

Buffalo VIC average Line = 2021–2026

Rates per 1,000 residents. ×-values compare with the state rate for the same offence type.

Crimes against the person

35.2 / 1,000 VIC 13.7 · National 17.5
Assault and related offences
28.17
3.8×
Stalking, harassment and threatening behaviour
7.04
3.3×

Property & deception

31.7 / 1,000 VIC 51.3 · National 49.7
Theft
14.08
0.4×
Property damage
7.04
1.0×
Burglary/Break and enter
7.04
1.2×
Deception
3.52
0.8×

Justice procedures

3.5 / 1,000 VIC 14.4 · National 10.3 administrative
Justice procedures
3.52
1.7×
View as table
GroupOffence typeCountPer 1,000VIC per 1,000
Crimes against the personAssault and related offences828.177.48
Crimes against the personStalking, harassment and threatening behaviour27.042.15
Property & deceptionTheft414.0833.72
Property & deceptionProperty damage27.046.74
Property & deceptionBurglary/Break and enter27.045.73
Property & deceptionDeception13.524.61
Justice proceduresJustice procedures13.522.09

Trend

TotalViolentPropertydashed = projection
010202021202220232024202520262027

Recorded offences per year. Projection is a simple linear trend, not a forecast of individual risk.

Vs state & national

per 1,000 residents
BuffaloState
All offences
Buffalo
70.4
State
89.1
Violent
Buffalo
35.2
State
13.7
Property
Buffalo
31.7
State
51.3

Nearby suburbs

  1. Middle Tarwin5.3 km not ranked compare
  2. Dumbalk9.0 km 30 compare
  3. Dumbalk North9.0 km not ranked compare
  4. Meeniyan9.0 km 40 compare
  5. Tarwin9.0 km not ranked compare
  6. Venus Bay9.0 km 68 compare
  7. Walkerville9.0 km not ranked compare
  8. Walkerville South9.0 km not ranked compare

Housing, rent and growth

Housing & rent

ABS Census 2021

Median rent is 16% of median household income. Below the 30% stress benchmark

MeasureValuevs other VIC suburbs
Median rent$260/week higher than 50%
Median household income$1,649/week higher than 56%
Rent as a share of income16% higher than 40%
Median mortgage repayment$1,150/month higher than 25%
Homes that are rented14% higher than 54%
Owned outright43% higher than 45%
Social housing0% higher than 35%
Average household size2.5 people higher than 53%

2021 Census figures: rents and incomes have risen since, so compare suburbs rather than reading today's prices. The rent share uses the median rent and the median income of all households (owners included), so it is a guide, not the share any one renter pays. The 30% benchmark is a common convention.

Growth & new homes

ABS Regional Population · Building Approvals
MeasureValuevs other VIC areas
Population growth, 5 years
2020–2025
+3.7% higher than 62%
Population growth, last year
2024–2025
+0.6% higher than 40%
New homes approved, 12 months
12 months to Aug 2026
57 higher than 57%
New homes approved per 1,000 residents
12 months to Aug 2026
5.9 higher than 67%

ABS publishes these for larger areas: figures are for “Foster”, which contains this suburb. Approvals are dwellings approved, not yet built. Growth and new supply are change indicators, not a price forecast.

Common questions about Buffalo

What is the crime rate in Buffalo?

In 2026, 20 offences were recorded in Buffalo, or 70.4 per 1,000 residents. That is 0.8× the VIC rate of 89.1.

What are the chances of being a victim of crime in Buffalo?

Based on 2026 recorded offences per resident, roughly 1 in 28 for violent crime and 1 in 32 for property crime. Recorded crime includes offences against visitors and businesses, so this overstates risk for residents.

Where does this data come from?

Official recorded-crime statistics published by state police and crime statistics agencies, divided by 2021 Census or ABS population estimates. See the methodology page for details.

Data notes

  • Population is estimated (medium confidence) from the ABS 2021 Census.
  • Recorded crime counts offences reported to or detected by police where they occurred. That includes offences against visitors and businesses, so busy centres score higher than their resident risk.
  • States classify offences differently, so ranks compare areas within the same state.