Suburb · VIC · 2026 data

Keilor Downs, VIC

In 2026, police recorded 572 offences in Keilor Downs, or 58.0 per 1,000 residents. That is 0.76× the VIC rate.

9,857 residents · estimated 5.0 km² -1.2% vs 2025
Crime rank within VIC
51 out of 100
Average crime

Higher weighted crime rate than 51% of 911 ranked VIC suburbs (2026).

Violent
53
Property
51

Higher = more crime. Severity-weighted rate per resident · method v2026.07

All offences
572
2026 · ▼ -1.2%
Crimes / 1,000
58.0
VIC avg 76.5
Violent / 1,000
9.0
89 offences · avg 11.8
Property / 1,000
34.5
340 offences · avg 44.0
Harm-focused / 1,000
49.0
excl. justice & regulatory · avg 63.7
Violent crime, roughly
1 in 111residents per year
VIC: 1 in 85
Property crime, roughly
1 in 29residents per year
VIC: 1 in 23

By crime type, 2026

Keilor Downs VIC average Line = 2021–2026

Rates per 1,000 residents. ×-values compare with the state rate for the same offence type.

Crimes against the person

9.0 / 1,000 VIC 11.8 · National 11.8
Assault and related offences
5.38
0.8×
Other crimes against the person
1.52
4.8×
Stalking, harassment and threatening behaviour
1.32
0.7×
Robbery
0.61
1.6×
Dangerous and negligent acts endangering people
0.20
0.2×

Property & deception

34.5 / 1,000 VIC 44.0 · National 44.0
Theft
23.33
0.8×
Property damage
4.67
0.8×
Deception
3.45
0.9×
Burglary/Break and enter
2.84
0.5×
Arson
0.20
0.4×

Drug offences

2.4 / 1,000 VIC 4.1 · National 4.1
Drug use and possession
1.83
0.5×
Drug dealing and trafficking
0.51
1.2×
Cultivate or manufacture drugs
0.10
0.4×

Public order & weapons

3.0 / 1,000 VIC 3.8 · National 3.8
Weapons and explosives offences
1.62
0.8×
Disorderly and offensive conduct
0.71
0.8×
Public nuisance offences
0.71
1.0×

Justice procedures

9.0 / 1,000 VIC 12.6 · National 12.6 administrative
Breaches of orders
7.30
0.7×
Justice procedures
1.72
1.0×
View as table
GroupOffence typeCountPer 1,000VIC per 1,000
Crimes against the personAssault and related offences535.386.44
Crimes against the personOther crimes against the person151.520.32
Crimes against the personStalking, harassment and threatening behaviour131.321.80
Crimes against the personRobbery60.610.39
Crimes against the personDangerous and negligent acts endangering people20.200.83
Property & deceptionTheft23023.3328.52
Property & deceptionProperty damage464.675.83
Property & deceptionDeception343.454.00
Property & deceptionBurglary/Break and enter282.845.24
Property & deceptionArson20.200.45
Drug offencesDrug use and possession181.833.45
Drug offencesDrug dealing and trafficking50.510.41
Drug offencesCultivate or manufacture drugs10.100.28
Public order & weaponsWeapons and explosives offences161.622.17
Public order & weaponsDisorderly and offensive conduct70.710.90
Public order & weaponsPublic nuisance offences70.710.68
Justice proceduresBreaches of orders727.3010.81
Justice proceduresJustice procedures171.721.81

Trend

TotalViolentPropertydashed = projection
03226442021202220232024202520262027

Recorded offences per year. Projection is a simple linear trend, not a forecast of individual risk.

Vs state & national

per 1,000 residents
Keilor DownsState
All offences
Keilor Downs
58.0
State
76.5
Violent
Keilor Downs
9.0
State
11.8
Property
Keilor Downs
34.5
State
44.0

Nearby suburbs

  1. Keilor Lodge0.0 km 13 compare
  2. Taylors Lakes0.0 km 80 compare
  3. Calder Park2.1 km not ranked compare
  4. Delahey2.1 km 21 compare
  5. Sydenham2.1 km 37 compare
  6. Taylors Hill2.1 km 13 compare
  7. Plumpton3.4 km not ranked compare
  8. Burnside Heights3.7 km 9 compare

Housing, rent and growth

Housing & rent

ABS Census 2021

Median rent is 23% of median household income. Below the 30% stress benchmark

MeasureValuevs other VIC suburbs
Median rent$360/week higher than 78%
Median household income$1,558/week higher than 48%
Rent as a share of income23% higher than 83%
Median mortgage repayment$1,733/month higher than 64%
Homes that are rented18% higher than 70%
Owned outright48% higher than 64%
Social housing4% higher than 92%
Average household size2.8 people higher than 80%

2021 Census figures: rents and incomes have risen since, so compare suburbs rather than reading today's prices. The rent share uses the median rent and the median income of all households (owners included), so it is a guide, not the share any one renter pays. The 30% benchmark is a common convention.

Growth & new homes

ABS Regional Population · Building Approvals
MeasureValuevs other VIC areas
Population growth, 5 years
2020–2025
-3.3% higher than 8%
Population growth, last year
2024–2025
+0.8% higher than 47%
New homes approved, 12 months
12 months to Aug 2026
9 higher than 13%
New homes approved per 1,000 residents
12 months to Aug 2026
0.7 higher than 7%

ABS publishes these for larger areas: figures are for “Sydenham”, which contains this suburb. Approvals are dwellings approved, not yet built. Growth and new supply are change indicators, not a price forecast.

Common questions about Keilor Downs

Is Keilor Downs a high-crime area?

Keilor Downs falls in the “average crime” band: Higher weighted crime rate than 51% of 911 ranked VIC suburbs (2026). Rankings use a severity-weighted rate per resident, so serious offences count more than minor ones.

What is the crime rate in Keilor Downs?

In 2026, 572 offences were recorded in Keilor Downs, or 58.0 per 1,000 residents. That is 0.8× the VIC rate of 76.5.

What are the chances of being a victim of crime in Keilor Downs?

Based on 2026 recorded offences per resident, roughly 1 in 111 for violent crime and 1 in 29 for property crime. Recorded crime includes offences against visitors and businesses, so this overstates risk for residents.

Where does this data come from?

Official recorded-crime statistics published by state police and crime statistics agencies, divided by 2021 Census or ABS population estimates. See the methodology page for details.

Data notes

  • Population is estimated (medium confidence) from the ABS 2021 Census.
  • Recorded crime counts offences reported to or detected by police where they occurred. That includes offences against visitors and businesses, so busy centres score higher than their resident risk.
  • States classify offences differently, so ranks compare areas within the same state.